The Matchday 2 clash in the 2025/26 Champions League group stage between Pafos (Cyprus) and Bayern Munich (Germany) will take place on September 30 at the Alphamega Stadium in Limassol. Pafos vs. Bayern Munich: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Pafos
Juan Carlos Carcedo's team managed to hold their ground in the first round away match against Olympiacos, playing with a man down from the 26th minute (0-0). As a result, Pafos extended their unbeaten run in the Champions League to seven matches (4 wins, 3 draws). Moreover, the team kept a clean sheet for the fourth time in their last six matches in this European competition. In the group stage standings, the Cypriots occupy the 21st position.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 6 of the team's last 7 Champions League matches.
- The club has conceded a maximum of one goal in their last seven games in this European competition.
- The Cypriots have scored exactly 1 or 2 times in 6 of their last 7 Champions League matches.
Predicted lineup for Pafos (4-3-3)
Neofytos Michael – David Gomez Goldar, Derrick Luckassen, David Luiz, Ognen Mimovic – Ivan Sunjic, Vlad Dragomir, Pepe Rodrigues – Mislav Orsic, Jaja, Landry Dimata.
Forward Bruno is suspended. The participation of defender Joao Correia is in doubt.
Bayern Munich
In the first round, Vincent Kompany's side defeated Chelsea in a home match (3-1). Over the last eight Champions League matches, Bayern Munich has suffered only one defeat (5 wins, 2 draws). Additionally, the club has scored at least two goals in 4 of their last 5 matches in this European competition. However, the Munich side has only kept a clean sheet twice in their last ten Champions League encounters. Bayern Munich is currently in sixth place in the group stage standings. It's worth noting that the team has won all six previous European matches against Cypriot clubs with a total goal difference of 31-2.
- The team has not won in 7 of their last 10 away Champions League matches (2 draws, 5 losses).
- The club has conceded in 9 of their last 10 away matches in this European competition.
- At least three goals have been scored in 7 of Bayern's last 8 away Champions League matches.
Predicted lineup for Bayern Munich (4-5-1)
Manuel Neuer – Sacha Boey, Dayot Upamecano, Jonathan Tah, Konrad Laimer – Serge Gnabry, Michael Olise, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Joshua Kimmich, Luis Diaz – Harry Kane.
Defenders Josip Stanisic, Alphonso Davies, and Hiroki Ito, as well as midfielder Jamal Musiala, are injured.
Referee
Manfredas Lukjanciukas (Lithuania)
Matches – 15 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 67;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 33%.
Pafos vs. Bayern Munich: Match Prediction
In their debut Champions League season, the Cypriots have performed very successfully. Pafos overcame three qualifying rounds and already managed to earn their first points in the group stage. However, in the first round match against Olympiacos, they failed to score for the first time in this Champions League campaign, largely due to an early red card. Therefore, it's reasonable to expect another productive game from the hosts, even against a high-level opponent.
Moreover, Bayern Munich cannot boast a reliable defense, particularly in away matches. In their last ten away Champions League games, the Munich side has kept a clean sheet only once, conceding at least two goals on five occasions during this period. Additionally, they have allowed their opponents to score in 6 of their last 8 away Bundesliga matches.
I expect the Cypriots to find the net against the Germans, so my prediction: Pafos Individual Total Over 0.5
